In a previous post a reader expressed concern that gave him the bird now depended on the tender Galicia convecional (via funding) of outstanding contracts ( http://infraestructurasgalicia.blogspot.com/2011/04/el minister-of-development-meets-con.html ).
And I am absolutely right: it has plenty of arguments to be restless.
Let's review the events of the past 2 years :
a) In 2009 Obradoiro Pact signed, committing the Ministry of Public bidding M € 3,362 in 2010 conventional. The purpose of the tenders would be the sections slopes between Lubián and Ourense, plus all the performances, electrification and communications between Olmedo and Ourense. According to the Minister of Development, the AVE to Galicia was "screened" for their arrival in 2015.
b) The State Budget 2010 (PGE2010) did not provide a single euro for tenders to carry out in 2010 under the Covenant of Obradoiro. Surprisingly, nobody complained about the absence of budget
c) In mid 2010, the Ministry of Public Works undertakes a budget adjustment of three pairs of balls forced by economic circumstances. Nevertheless, the Minister José White says that the Covenant of Obradoiro go ahead and that will be bid through public-private partnership the arrival of the AVE to Galicia.
d) ended 2010 and 3200 are not tendered M € committed in the Covenant of Obradoiro. The Development Ministry told Gallegos that nothing was wrong, that in 3 months would be tendered a public-private participation macrocontrato of 6,000 M € to "shielding" the AVE for his arrival in 2015. Since the ill students, leaving everything for a final binge.
e) In the PGE2011, since the remaining bids will be tendered under the IEP, it is planned or a fucking euro AVE Galicia (Olmedo-Ourense). But ni un euro ni para 2011, ni para las proyecciones a 2012, 2013 y 2014. Todo fiado a una carta (el PEI), una jugada muy arriesgada que desaconseja cualquier economista.
f) La macrolicitación se retrasa hasta que estalla por su propio peso. José Blanco recula y ahora dice que se licitarán 3.000 M€ por la vía convencional (vía presupuestos) en unos 27 contratos diferentes y 2.300 M€ con cargo al PEI en 6 contratos. Además se afirma que las licitaciones convencionales se realizarán en gran parte antes de final de año (en cualquier caso todas antes de finalizar la legislatura en marzo de 2012). El Ministro de Fomento José Blanco vuelve a decir a los gallegos que el AVE quedará así "Shielded" to reach the end of 2015 ( http://www.lavozdegalicia.es/galicia/2011/04/10/0003_201104G10P4991.htm , http://www.lavozdegalicia.es/galicia/2011/ 04/10/0003_201104G10P5991.htm ).
My conclusions are clear:
- In the Galician dizzy as we are fools. Like I say asshole. So we have a Minister of Public Works announced on the official website of the Government of Spain that is sent to the Official Journal of the European Union to launch an ad macrolicitación of 6,500 M € of the AVE to Galicia ( http://www. fomento.gob.es/NR/rdonlyres/8C8CF46C-1B46-4AD9-AADF-531339EB7984/97634/10122108.pdf ) and then everything fell apart.
- The Ministry of Public Works does not want any slip announcing things in Galicia is not able to accomplish. Therefore no longer provides official information from the new plans and is limited only to filter data to the press (see the official note http://www.fomento.es/MFOM/LANG_CASTELLANO/GABINETE_COMUNICACION/OFICINA_DE_PRENSA/NOTICIAS1/2011/ABRIL / 110 409-01.htm ).
- What we say now is that we return to the initial forecast, will try to bid in 2011 and early 2012 which had to be tendered in 2010. It has lost a year and a half. It is a year and a half of delay in arrival of the AVE, as much for us to sell the bike that will meet the date and blah, blah, blah.
- NO budget bid in 2011 allowing for the conventional line segments pending platform. I doubt (hope I'm wrong) that something was tendered in 2011 by agreement.
- It is very difficult for them to enable the games in 2012, given the economic adjustment. In addition, as noted in a blog reader, but are achieved to enable these items, their annuities are ridiculous until 2015 at least (the projections to 2014 have sold out items to the limit). All this and much to be said that ADIF "does not compute." Therefore, I assert that the AVE will not until 2020 (because, well, we must remember the difficulty of execution that has this work in that environment http://www.lavozdegalicia.es/galicia/2011/04/11/0003_201104G11P8991.htm ).
- Moreover, the Ministry of Public Works is planning to schedule payments of € 500 million per year until 2017 ( http://www.lavozdegalicia.es/galicia/2011/04/12/0003_201104G12P4991.htm ). "We believe then that will arrive in 2015 AVE Galicia?
- There was the predictable to anyone with a little common sense. No company is today able to bear the risk of construction of a section of platform AVE between Lubián and Ourense. Even the best projects can anticipate the unexpected to be present: landslides, collection and removal of upwelling water, maintenance of railway ... And neither the financial muscle building more you risk both in a play at a fixed price. Therefore, the Ministry of Public Works has had to resort back to the conventional (VIA Quote) to tender contracts platform. The trouble is that today there is nothing under budget.
- However, the works, electrification, communications and security are very low construction risk: in this case are the construction YES willing to put money on the table. They are contracts amounting to 2,300 M € will be bid under the PEI Development.
- If you really work the hybrid locomotives, it is likely that the only goal of the Ministry of Public Works is currently having mounted the road between Olmedo and Zamora in 2012 (only bid approved by the Council of Ministers for now) to , with the stretch Ourense-Coruña, can reduce the current travel time of 8 hours between Galicia and Madrid to about 5 hours. Would you give authorities time the general election of 2012? Or perhaps before 2013, regional? Undoubtedly would be a coup de José Blanco, but the only thing Galician mean for the real goal is the journey of 3 hours, before long (2020, being the last region to be connected in less than 3 hours).
- And last but not least, the Galician regional government is unable to react. It has never been able, has never seen the goals that went in and still learning that is a cousin to pluck at the poker game. Perhaps if the expert teacher in charge Bugarín had a good technical team rather than a luxury retreat, then the regional government could take the upper hand without having to hire independent experts ( http://www.lavozdegalicia.es / galicia/2011/04/13/0003_201104G13P4991.htm )
I said: I see the future gray. Right now, I believe that promotion only aspire to Galicia in 2012-2013 may have a connecting train to Madrid where travel time is reduced from 8 to 5 hours.
And I begin to tremble every time I hear calls for calm, saying that the AVE is shielded. "Relax, do not worry, this is won" is what a lawyer tells his client before losing a trial. Well same here. We're almost in May 2011 and have not seen in the BOE bids committed for 2010.
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